Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Beautiful Weather Continues!

By Jay Grymes & Steve Caparotta


Yes sir -- now that’s more like it!  A clear skies start with metro area temps in the 60°s for Wednesday morning ... and a sunny and mild afternoon with highs only reaching the low 80°s.  And the humidity?   Nada!

Well get even cooler overnight and early Thursday, with lows expected to dip into the low to mid 50°s for the Capital City -- some areas along and north of the LA/MS state line could dip to or even just below the 50° mark!  And Thursday should be just as pretty of a day as Wednesday, although maybe a few degrees warmer into the afternoon.
Surface high pressure that is currently the main driver for our local weather today and overnight will migrate to the east on Thursday.  By Thursday afternoon and evening, we’ll start to get a more easterly and southeasterly flow over the viewing area.  While the SE flow will mean a very modest return of Gulf moisture and warmth for Friday, Friday will still be a great day under fair skies.  Highs on Friday for the Red Stick will approach 90° -- very warm, but the humidity remains low enough to keep things reasonably comfortable, especially into Friday evening.
By Saturday, enough low-level moisture will have returned to keep morning lows in the 60°s and provide partly cloudy skies during the day.  At the same time, the SE flow will be enhanced by the approach of our next cool front from the north.  But for the time being, we just don’t think that enough Gulf moisture will build back into the atmosphere to support any significant rain as the front works its way through the Bayou State.
The current guidance suggests that the weekend front will push across the WAFB viewing area during Saturday-to-Sunday’s overnight and pre-dawn hours.  By the late morning to mid-day hours on Sunday, skies should be mainly sunny as we enjoy another surge of cool and dry Canadian air.  In fact, our extended forecast remains dry at least through the middle of next week!
In the tropics, a very persistent T.S. Nadine continues to spin to the southwest of the Azores Islands, and has been drifting for much of the day.  Forecasters still believe that Nadine will turn to the ESE in the next 24 hours or so, taking ‘her’ south of the Azores.

Elsewhere in the tropics, there are no areas of weather with an immediate threat of development.  The NHC is watching a broad, “non-tropical” low situated between Bermuda (to its west) and Nadine (to its east).  Currently the NHC gives this area only a low chance for developing into a tropical or sub-tropical system, but even if it were to acquire tropical characteristics, it offers no serious threat to any land masses.

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