WAFB FirstAlert Weather Blog

A Break from the mid 90°s?

 

The HEAT ADVISORY that has been in effect since Tuesday will be allowed to expire later this evening, but don’t be expecting a quick cool down.

 

Under fair to partly cloudy skies, we’ll ease down to a Thursday morning low in the mid to upper 70°s for the ‘Red Stick.’ August heat returns for Thursday afternoon with highs climbing back into the mid 90°s for many of us.

 

But we’ll add in a 20% to maybe 30% rain chance for Thursday afternoon and early evening, providing a little “wet relief” from the heat for at least some WAFB neighborhoods. And the forecast gets “wetter” for Friday and into the weekend -- and a wetter outlook also means a dip in those afternoon highs.

The upper-level ridge that has been the driver behind our run of hot and mainly dry weather is slowly being weakened, with that weakening expected to hold through the weekend. The ridge stays just strong enough to keep us mainly-dry for Thursday -- and let highs reach the mid 90°s for many. But by Friday, the ridge’s influence wanes, allowing for our moist-and-unstable summer air to do its thing. In addition, a weak wave over the Gulf should provide a modest boost, resulting in a return to a somewhat more typical weather pattern with afternoon scattered showers and t-storms for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

 

 

We’ll keep the higher scattered rains in the forecast for the early part of next week as well.

 

All quiet in the tropics -- no tropical waves are displaying any development potential through the next several days.