Monday, January 30, 2012

Rains Returning...

Mild weather is back thanks to a returning southerly flow. Today's highs that reached the mid 60°s for many of us would have likely been closer to 70° if not for the persistent cloud cover.

Temperatures will continue to quickly moderate over the next 24 hours, with lows only reaching the lower 50°s and highs climbing into the mid 70°s on Tuesday. The daylight hours should be mainly dry on Tuesday, but rain chances will increase sharply Tuesday night as a disturbance approaches from the south. Here's a look at how our Titan9 model depicts things shortly after midnight tomorrow:

Periods of rain will likely continue through Wednesday morning into at least a portion of the afternoon. Here's what our Titan 9 model shows 12 hours later at 1 p.m. on Wednesday:

The good news is that severe weather does not appear to be much of a threat with this next system. However, we could see some locally heavy rains. Our Titan9 model is forecasting some pockets of 2" to 3" of rain in the 24-hour period beginning Tuesday night. Those aren't huge numbers, but could result in some rather quick rebounds on area rivers that experienced minor flooding last week.

Thursday and Friday should present somewhat of an opportunity to dry out, although a few isolated showers can't be ruled out during that stretch. Good rain chances are expected to return by Saturday as our next cool front moves in from the west. The weekend forecast is still filled with uncertainty, but it appears as though clouds and even a few showers could linger into Saturday night and Sunday. We'll keep an eye on that over the next couple of days, especially since there are a number of Mardi Gras parades that could be impacted by any adverse weather.

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