Monday, April 16, 2012

Rains Returning Tonight

By Jay Grymes & Steve Caparotta

We don’t expect an all-night-then-all-day rain. Like we saw this afternoon, there will be periods of rain with periods of relative quiet. But a slow-moving front draped across Louisiana and extending out into the Gulf will get plenty of Gulf moisture along with some upper-level support to make for a very wet 24 hours or more.

Radar snapshot from 8:20 p.m. Monday showing widespread shower and t-storm activity returning from the west.
How wet? Models are pointing to widespread 1” to 2”-plus totals, with isolated pockets of 3” or more before all is said and done late Tuesday. In fact, Doppler radar estimates are already showing some 2” and 3”+ bull’s eyes to Baton Rouge’s east and southeast!

While this could prompt some localized flooding -- we are not anticipating any widespread severe weather. True, some t-storms over the course of the next day could be on the strong side and one or two might attain “severe” intensity, but the current set-up does not support a prolonged or frequent outbreak of warnings for our viewing area.

The payoff comes with great weather days for Wednesday and Thursday, with the extended range outlook bringing another spring season cool front into our region late Friday into Saturday. Our thinking at this point is that rains arrive late on Friday and most are out of the way by mid-morning Saturday, leaving us with a good looking Saturday afternoon and a very pleasant Sunday!

No comments:

Post a Comment