Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Nice Fall Weather Continues

By Jay Grymes & Steve Caparotta

Wednesday was a gorgeous fall day here in Baton Rouge, with highs climbing into the low 70°s. But as we showed you last night, a weak cool front slipped through the Bayou State earlier today, adding a reinforcing dose of cool-and-dry (low dew points) Canadian air to our regional weather. That will allow Baton Rouge metro temps to drop to around 40° by Thursday morning, with many WAFB communities north and east of metro BR likely slipping into the upper 30°s by Thursday’s sunrise!

Highs on Thursday may be a couple of degrees lower than what we saw on Wednesday, thanks to that second surge of Canadian air. But the clear skies remain in place for Thursday, with mostly sunny skies in the Friday afternoon forecast.

We will begin to see the temperatures warm on Friday, with highs up around 80° for many WAFB neighborhoods by the weekend. An upper-level ridge currently over the western U.S. will shift eastward and set-up right over the Mississippi Valley for Friday and Saturday -- as you remember, upper-level ridges usually deliver a warm-up and also tend to keep the weather on the dry side.

That is great news for both LSU’s Homecoming (against Mississippi State) and the Jaguar Nation’s battle with Alabama State -- both games at 6:00PM and both right here in the Red Stick! We expect great fall weather for afternoon tailgating around Death Valley and up on the Bluff with highs in the upper 70°s to around 80° under fair to partly cloudy skies. Kick-off temps will be in the low 70°s, with temps falling to the mid 60°s by the 4th quarter.

Our forecast remains mainly-dry for Sunday, Veteran’s Day -- we’re going with partly cloudy skies and highs again up around 80°. We can’t completely rule out a spotty shower or two during the afternoon and early evening, but we expect the weather to cooperate for area activities. 



Our extended forecast calls for the next cold front to arrive on Monday. Although it is still a little too early to say, the latest guidance suggests that this will be a “wetter” system than most of what we’ve seen over recent weeks. For now, we are posting rain chances at 50% to 60% for Monday, but that rain chance may go up as the Monday forecast comes into better focus in the coming days.

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