Friday, February 22, 2013

Rains Diminishing Saturday AM

By Jay Grymes & Steve Caparotta

Although we did have a few showers and pockets of storms in the region today, our Friday weather proved to be a little drier than we expected -- no complaints there, we’ll bet?
The clouds stay with us through the night, and we could still see a few passing (mainly-light) showers overnight into the early hours Saturday, but we’re just about done with the significant rains, at least for the short term.  Expect mostly cloudy to cloudy skies early Saturday, but we hope to see at least a little sunshine by the afternoon -- maybe not the prettiest of days, but a big improvement over Thursday and Friday.  And just in time too!
Sunday looks better, with fair skies to begin the day.  Clouds will return as the day goes by with skies becoming  mostly cloudy later in the day.  We’ll even add a slight chance of rain during the late afternoon, with rain chances quickly ramping up near and after sunset. Showers and t-storms are a good bet by Sunday night as a warm front moves inland from the Gulf.

We’re getting some mixed signals regarding the potential for active to severe weather Sunday night into Monday.  For now, we think the threat might be a little greater than it was for last night - - we’ll keep tabs on it as the system approaches form the west.  At this point, even if it’s not a “severe” weather threat, we’ll stick with our 1” to 2” rain estimates for Monday just as we posted yesterday.
Given that last night’s and today’s rains were generally lower than anticipated, we’re far less concerned about the threat for a return of river flooding early next week, assuming our early 1” to 2” rain estimates are in the ballpark.  Then, thankfully, it looks like the weather settles down for the rest of the work week, with a mainly-dry forecast posted for Tuesday through Friday.  Temps will be running a little below normal for Thursday and Friday, but still far from real winter weather, even by Louisiana standards.

In fact, our “extra-extended” guidance is suggesting a dry first weekend in March -- wouldn’t that be nice!  In the meantime, enjoy THIS weekend!

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