Friday, November 29, 2013

Warming Trend Kicks-in over the Weekend

Many of you rose this morning to a heavy frost, with morning lows dropping into the 20°s for a majority of WAFB communities for the second consecutive day.
As a reminder, Steve did a little extra digging earlier this week and found that our Thanksgiving low of 26° was the coldest Thanksgiving morning since at least 1930! With a morning low of 26° for Thursday and a low this morning at 27°, that’s the coldest back-to-back November mornings for Baton Rouge since 1991. In fact, there have only been a half-dozen occurrences of back-to-back November lows this cold since 1930!  20°s are indeed somewhat uncommon for baton Rouge in November: Friday wass only the 30th November day on the books with a low in the 20°s based on the past 84 Novembers.
And there is a chance that Metro Airport (BTR) could dip to freezing again on Saturday morning. Again, not a record, but there have been fewer than 20 occurrences since 1930 with three consecutive freeze days during November for the Red Stick (based on daily records back to 1930).
So about that forecast for the rest of the Thanksgiving weekend: even with cold morning wake-ups, the warming trend we’ve been promising started today and will continue. You have to admit that today wasn’t bad at all even with that bitterly-cold start thanks to the day’s abundant sunshine and afternoon readings reaching the 60°s for most of us.
And even with another cold forecast for Saturday’s sunrise, sunshine and highs in the mid 60°s for Saturday afternoon sounds good!
We keep the forecast dry through the weekend, although we’ve got some clouds returning on Sunday. But we skip a freeze for Sunday morning and Sunday afternoon temps should climb into the mid to upper 60°s for most WAFB neighborhoods. We’ll put a slight chance of rain in the forecast for Monday followed by a mainly-dry Tuesday. At this point it looks like daytime highs will approach 70° by Monday and stay in the 70°s through the work week. We’ll go with modest rain chances for Wednesday into Thursday and 'up' those rain percentages for Friday.

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