Monday, April 1, 2013

Rains Returning...

By Jay Grymes & Steve Caparotta

A real shame that Monday’s weather couldn’t come on Easter Sunday, eh?

Monday’s blues skies and sunshine were welcomed nonetheless, especially for those folks and school-kids that had Monday off.  The only weather issue today were the pockets of dense morning fog . . . and most of those had dissipated by 9AM or so.

We’ll have another round of fog for Tuesday morning, with some dense pockets as well.  But all in all, the dense fog may not be as widespread as it was on Monday morning.  The day begins in the low 50°s for metro Baton Rouge with highs climbing into the upper 70°s by the late afternoon.  But unlike today, the clouds will be with us throughout most of the day on Tuesday.  In addition, we’re adding a 20% chance of afternoon t-showers to the Tuesday forecast.  So most stay dry on Tuesday, but you’ll want to be ready for a passing shower during the afternoon and early evening.

Rain chances continue to climb from Tuesday evening into Wednesday, with rain likely by or before mid-day Wednesday. 

A “dry” cool front will slowly slide southward through the viewing area this evening, setting up as a stationary front over the northern Gulf by late Tuesday into early Wednesday.  A surface low slides west-to-east along that stationary front while getting a boost from an upper-level disturbance.  These features will ‘team-up’ to not only produce high-end rain chances from early Wednesday into Thursday but also generate some decent rain totals over the next few days.

Current NWS Weather Prediction Center (WPC) forecasts through Thursday morning are calling for rains of 1.0” to 1.5” for the northern half of the WAFB viewing area, with totals of 1.5” to as much as 2.5” or more from the I-10/12 corridor to the coast.  Our in-house RPM is showing slightly lower totals for WAFB areas north of the interstate corridor but is actually a tad wetter for WAFB communities south of the interstate.

Once that coastal mess moves to the east on Thursday, we’ll be looking good for Friday and the weekend.  Temps will be a little cooler for Friday, but sunshine returns.  The weekend will be mostly sunny to partly cloudy for both days, with highs in the upper 70°s on Saturday and approaching 80° for Sunday.

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