Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Showers, A Few T-Storms on Wednesday

By Jay Grymes & Steve Caparotta

As our Thibodaux Weather Watcher, Barbara Koscher, said in her daily report: “You can feel it.” She was referring to the increased humidity, which kept Tuesday morning lows in the 60°s across the area and will do so again tonight and into Wednesday morning.

Expect clouds and patches of fog for Wednesday morning, with a spotty shower or two possible, especially closer to the coast. Rain chances will increase through the day: we’re posting probabilities at 60% to 70% for Wednesday afternoon and evening thanks to an advancing cold front. The clouds and rain should keep Wednesday’s highs in the 70°s.

A look at Titan9 Doppler shows little if any rain anywhere near the front -- currently draped from Arkansas into East Texas -- but we expect the boundary to “moisten up” as it draws enters the Bayou State and moves towards the viewing area. 

We’re getting some mixed signals from some of our forecast tools, but we’re thinking rains on the order of about 0.25” to 0.75” for this event. The good news is that while we can expect a few t-storms with this front, there appears to be little in the way of a “severe weather” threat with this go-around.

Unfortunately, the front will slow and likely stall as it moves into the coastal zone and northern Gulf, so we’ll keep a slight chance of rain in the Thursday forecast as well.

As a matter of fact, it looks like our area weather will remain modestly unsettled for Friday and the weekend -- we’re calling for rain chances at 20% to 30% for all three days. Now remember, that’s not a “washout” forecast for the weekend but it certainly doesn’t look like we can expect a repeat of the past weekend’s wonderful weather either.

So grab the umbrella on your way out the front door tomorrow!

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