Wednesday, March 5, 2014

Rains Returning Tonight

By Jay Grymes & Steve Caparotta

WAFB Storm Team QuickCast:

- rain returns overnight and extends into Thursday
- sunshine and warmer for Friday and Saturday
- rain is back in the forecast for Sunday
We dodged the morning freeze and we doubt that anyone is disappointed with that after that bone-chiller of a Fat Tuesday!  In fact, while there may have been a little mist here and there this morning, just about everyone stayed dry today.  There were even a few peaks of sunshine during the afternoon that helped drive temperatures up to around 60° for many WAFB communities.

That's still well below normal but it certainly beats highs in the 30°s like we saw on Tuesday!  

Rains Returning Tonight

Unfortunately, rain returns later this evening and overnight across the entire area.  Yesterday we showed you a disturbance over the Rockies that was headed our way: it arrives tonight and will keep the forecast "wet" through the better part of Thursday.  The good news is that while it will stall our warming trend briefly, we don't expect a significant drop in temperatures as this storm system exits to the east.
Our Thursday forecast calls for morning lows in the 40°s and afternoon highs in the upper 50°s.  Rain is likely through the first half of Thursday, tapering off in the late afternoon and evening.  Most of the guidance is suggesting rains on the order of about 0.3" to 0.5" for most of us, so this shouldn't cause any kind of flood concerns - - just a messy morning commute.  Expect clearing to be underway Thursday night into Friday morning, with Friday sunrise temperatures ranging from the upper 30°s to low 40°s for most WAFB neighborhoods.

Milder Weekend, Some Rain?

After a chilly start, Friday turns into a real "weather winner" under mostly sunny skies and highs climbing into the mid to upper 60°s for most WAFB neighborhoods.  Yes, that's still a little below the normal for early March, but at least it hints at something spring-like!
The weekend offers a mixed bag of weather.  Saturday looks good: after a morning start in the 40°s we'll enjoy partly cloudy skies and highs around 70°.   Too bad we can't get back-to-back days like that, but sadly, we've got rain returning to the forecast for Sunday as our next front moves into the Lower Mississippi Valley.

Extended Outlook

And in the extended outlook, we'll keep the weather unsettled for Monday and early Tuesday.

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