Tuesday, October 8, 2013

One More Morning in the 50s

Cool temperatures greeted us once again this morning, with lows ranging from the low to mid 50°s around most of the WAFB viewing area. In fact, I don’t know about you, but the cool weather did (briefly) necessitate the heater being turned on in my house for the first time this fall!

And we’ll see one more morning in the 50°s on Wednesday before a warm-up commences and continues through the remainder of the week. An upper-level ridge of high pressure centered to our west will gradually build overhead the next couple of days, helping to moderate our temps. The warm-up will also be aided by a shift in winds as they gradually come around to the southeast by the end of the week. The end result is that we’ll be saying goodbye to morning temps in the 50°s and ‘hello’ to warmer and more humid weather headed into the weekend.

In fact, we’ll transition from temperatures somewhat below normal the last few days to readings a bit above-normal late this week and through the weekend. Highs will climb into the mid to upper 80°s as soon as Thursday and likely remain there into at least the early part of next week.

We will keep the forecast essentially dry through Friday, with a slight chance of showers by the weekend. Rain chances should be 20% or less on both Saturday and Sunday, so certainly keep any outdoor plans you may have.

The tropics remain fairly quiet today. We are tracking one tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, but it actually looks less organized than it did on Monday. The National Hurricane Center still gives this system a 40% chance of development though within the next 5 days. Even if it did manage to develop, it’s unlikely that a system that far east this late in hurricane season would be able to make the journey all the way across the Atlantic without ‘recurving’ at some point. ‘Never say never’…but we’re certainly not too concerned about this one.

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